在中美關(guān)系方面,特朗普一方面在經(jīng)貿(mào)、朝鮮半島問題乃至南海上頻頻發(fā)牌,力圖從中為美國獲取更多利益,但也逐漸認識到中美關(guān)系的全面性、復(fù)雜性及重要性。兩國元首的成功會晤及高層交往頻繁的互動與交流,為兩國關(guān)系的健康平穩(wěn)發(fā)展發(fā)揮了引領(lǐng)作用。四大新對話機制的建立與推進,為中美兩國解決包括經(jīng)貿(mào)等問題在內(nèi)的棘手問題提供了新渠道與新動力,也為妥善管控分歧提供了機制保障。隨著2017年11月特朗普就任后的首次訪華,中美兩國領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人將迎來共同把脈中美關(guān)系,尋求中美關(guān)系新共識,促進中美合作的新機遇。
展望未來,美俄關(guān)系的“冷淡”狀況不會發(fā)生根本性變化,美國國會將繼續(xù)為兩國關(guān)系“吹冷風(fēng)”。美印關(guān)系會朝著既定方向發(fā)展,兩國在政治、經(jīng)濟乃至安全領(lǐng)域的合作會繼續(xù)深化,但其重要性仍將居于次要地位。中美關(guān)系將繼續(xù)呈現(xiàn)競爭與合作并存局面,但兩國會努力管控分歧,并積極尋求新的合作點,確保中美關(guān)系的平穩(wěn)及健康發(fā)展。
注釋
[1]Donald J. Trump, "The Inaugural Address," Washington D.C., January 20, 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/inaugural-address.
[2]Donald J. Trump: "Remarks on Foreign Policy at the National Press Club in Washington, DC," April 27, 2016. Online by Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley, The American Presidency Project. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=117813; Donald J. Trump: "Remarks on Proposals for the First 100 Days in Office at the Eisenhower Complex in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania," October 22, 2016. Online by Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley, The American Presidency Project. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=119875.
[3]Peter Beinart, "Why Trump's Republican Party Is Embracing Russia," The Atlantic, December 12, 2016, https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/12/the-conservative-split-on-russia/510317/.
[4]Donald J. Trump: "Remarks on Foreign Policy at the National Press Club in Washington, DC," April 27, 2016. Online by Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley, The American Presidency Project, http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=117813.
[5]Charlie Campbell, "China Warns Donald Trump Not to 'Escalate' North Korea Situation with Erratic Tweets," Time, January 4, 2017, http://time.com/4621475/china-donald-trump-north-korea-twitter/.
[6]K Alan Kronstadt and Shayerah Ilias Akhtar, "India-U.S. Relations: Issues for Congress," Congressional Research Service Report, June 19, 2017, pp.1-16.
[7]Thomas Wright, "Trump's 19th Century Foreign Policy," Politico, January 20, 2016, http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/01/donald-trump-foreign-policy-213546?o=0.
[8]The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, "Readout of President Donald J. Trump's Meeting With Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov of Russia," May 10, 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/05/10/readout-president-donald-j-trumps-meeting-foreign-minister-sergey-lavrov.
[9]David E. Sanger and Neil MacFarquhar, "With Awkward Timing, Trump Meets Top Russian Official," The New York Times, May 10, 2017, https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/10/world/europe/trump-russia-foreign-minister-sergey-lavrov-meeting.html; Julie Vitkovskaya and Amanda Erickson, "The Strange Oval Office Meeting Between Trump, Lavrov, and Kislyak," The Washington Post, May 10, 2017, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/05/10/the-strange-oval-office-meeting-between-trump-lavrov-and-kislyak/?utm_term=.eefc77258aaa; Jim Acosta, Laura Smith-Spark and Nicole Gaouette, "Trump Has 'Very, Very Good' Meeting With Lavrov, Kislyak at White House," The CNN, May 10, 2017, http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/10/politics/trump-lavrov-tillerson-meeting/index.html.
[10]Loren Dejonge Schulman, "Why Trump's Solo Meeting With Putin Was A Big No-No," Politico, July 23, 2017, http://www.politico.eu/article/donlad-trump-vladimir-putin-g20-why-solo-meeting-with-was-a-big-no-no/; David A. Graham, "The Other Putin-Trump Meeting," The Atlantic, July 18, 2017, https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/07/trump-putin-second-meeting/534099/; Aaron Blake, "Why Did Trump Meet With Putin Again? Here Are Three Possibilities," The Washington Post, July 19, 2017, https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/07/19/why-did-trump-meet-secretly-with-putin-here-are-3-theories/?utm_term=.9f16a3fcbabb.
[11]Cory Welt, "Russia: Background and U.S. Policy," Congressional Research Service Report, August 21, 2017, p.45.
[12]H.R. 3364, "Countering Russian Influence in Europe and Eurasia Act of 2017," in Countering America's Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, August 2, 2017.
[13]Courtney Weaver and Henry Foy, 'Trump Grudgingly Signed 'Flawed' Russian Sanctions Bill," Financial Times, August 3, 2017, https://www.ft.com/content/dbb3dbc0-7791-11e7-90c0-90a9d1bc9691.
[14]K Alan Kronstadt and Shayerah Ilias Akhtar, "India-U.S. Relations: Issues for Congress," Congressional Research Service Report, June 19, 2017, p.15.
[15]K Alan Kronstadt and Shayerah Ilias Akhtar, "India-U.S. Relations: Issues for Congress," Congressional Research Service Report, June 19, 2017, pp.25-33.
[16]The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, "Readout of the President's Call With Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India," January 24, 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/01/24/readout-presidents-call-prime-minister-narendra-modi-india.
[17]The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, "Remarks by President Trump and Prime Minister Modi of India in Joint Press Statement," June 26, 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/06/26/remarks-president-trump-and-prime-minister-modi-india-joint-press.
[18]The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, "United States and India: Prosperity Through Partnership," June 26, 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/06/26/united-states-and-india-prosperity-through-partnership.
[19]The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, "Remarks by President Trump on the Strategy in Afghanistan and South Asia," Arlington, Virginia, June 26, 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/08/21/remarks-president-trump-strategy-afghanistan-and-south-asia.
[20]News Transcript, "Secretary Mattis Joint Press Conference with Minister of Defense of Nirmala Sitharaman," Press Operations, Sept. 26, 2017, https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript-View/Article/1325283/secretary-mattis-joint-press-conference-with-minister-of-defence-nirmala-sithar/.
[21]傅瑩、王緝思主編:《超越分歧,走向雙贏——中美智庫研究報告(中方)》,2017年5月22日,第8~13頁。
[22]Mark Landler, "Next Stop for the Steve Bannon Insurgency: China," The New York Times, September 8, 2017, https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/08/us/politics/steve-bannon-china-trump.html?mcubz=1.
[23]The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, "Readout of the President's Call with President Xi Jinping of China," February 9, 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/02/09/readout-presidents-call-president-xi-jinping-china.
[24]中華人民共和國外交部:《王毅介紹中美元首海湖莊園會晤情況》,中華人民共和國外交部網(wǎng)站,2017年4月8日,http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/zyxw/t1452259.shtml。
[25]The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, "Remarks by President Trump After Meeting with President Xi of China," April 7, 2017, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/04/07/remarks-president-trump-after-meeting-president-xi-china.
[26]U.S. Department of Commerce, Office of Public Affairs, "Joint Release: Initial Results of the 100-Day Action Plan of the U.S.-China Comprehensive Economic Dialogue," May 11, 2017, https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2017/05/joint-release-initial-results-100-day-action-plan-us-china-comprehensive.