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冷戰(zhàn)博弈能否終結(jié):美俄關系的發(fā)展與變數(shù)(7)

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1.1947年,喬治·凱南曾經(jīng)在《外交季刊》撰文《蘇聯(lián)行為的根源》,提出“美國對蘇聯(lián)的任何政策的主要方面必須是長期的,耐心、堅定和警惕地對俄羅斯的擴張傾向進行遏制”。參見[美]喬治·凱南:《美國大外交(60周年增訂版)》,雷建鋒譯,北京:社會科學文獻出版社,2013年,第165頁。

2.Dmitri Trenin, "Welcome to Cold War II", Foreign Policy, March 4, 2014. https://foreignpolicy.com/2014/03/04/welcome-to-cold-war-ii/.

3.Dmitri Trenin, "The Crisis in Crimea Could Lead the World into a Second Cold War", The Guardian, March 2, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/02/crimea-crisis-russia-ukraine-cold-war.

4.Simon Tisdall, "The New Cold War: Are We Going back to the Bad Old Days?", The Guardian, November 19, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/nov/19/new-cold-war-back-to-bad-old-days-russia-west-putin-ukraine.

5.Patrick Wintour, Luke Harding, Julian Borger, "Cold War 2.0: How Russia and the West Reheated a Historic Struggle", The Guardian, October 24, 2016. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/24/cold-war-20-how-russia-and-the-west-reheated-a-historic-struggle.

6.Evan Osnos, David Remnick, and Joshua Yaffa, "Trump, Putin, and the New Cold War", The New Yorker, March 6, 2017.

7.Bohdan Harasymiw, "Russia, the United States, and the New Cold War", Journal of Military and Strategic Studies, Volume 12, Issue 2, Winter 2010, pp.1-31.

8.Evan Horowitz, "How a Trump-Putin Alliance Would Change the World", The Boston Globe, December 5, 2016. http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/world/2016/12/05/how-trump-putin-alliance-would-change-world/WRBbyzjIfHCs4xYOyKv7wL/story.html. Steven Swinford, Ben Riley-Smith, "Trump Putin Alliance Sparks Diplomatic Crisis", The Telegraph, November, 2016.http://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/trump-putin-alliance-sparks-diplomatic-crisis/ar-AAke2x8.

9.[美]艾什頓·卡特、威廉姆·佩里:《預防性防御:一項美國新安全戰(zhàn)略》,胡利平、楊韻琴譯,上海人民出版社,2000年,第50頁。

10.李靜杰、鄭羽主編:《俄羅斯與當代世界》,北京:世界知識出版社,1998年,第87~88頁。

11."Presidents Bush and Yeltsin: 'Dawn of a New Era'", The New York Times, February 2, 1992.

12."The Treaty between the United States of America and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics on the Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms (START)", July 31, 1991. https://www.state.gov/t/avc/trty/146007.htm.

13."Treaty between the United States of America and the Russian Federation on Further Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms (START II)", January 3, 1993. https://www.state.gov/t/avc/trty/102887.htm.

14.詳見樊吉社:《從合作到對抗:美俄軍控十年的歷史考察及思考(1991~2000)》,《歐洲研究》,2003年第5期,第28~42頁。

15.王緝思、徐輝、倪峰主編:《冷戰(zhàn)后的美國外交(1989~2000)》,北京:時事出版社,2007年,第97~99頁。

16.Thomas W. Lippman, "Clinton, Yeltsin Agree on Arms Cuts and NATO", The Washington Post, March 22, 1997, Page A01.

17.周一民:《布什政府上臺以來的美俄關系》,《俄羅斯研究》,2002年第1期,第45~46頁。

18.George W. Bush: "The President's News Conference With President Vladimir Putin of Russia," November 13, 2001.Online by Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley, The American Presidency Project. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=64429.

19.David E. Sanger, "The Bush-Putin Summit: The Ranch", The New York Times, November 16, 2001. http://www.nytimes.com/2001/11/16/world/bush-putin-summit-ranch-before-after-bush-putin-s-banter-no-agreement-missile.html.

20.樊吉社:《核裁軍的“趣味數(shù)學”》,《人民日報》,2009年7月14日,第13版。

21.Luke Harding, "Russia Threatening New Cold War over Missile Defence", The Guardian, April 11, 2007. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/apr/11/usa.topstories3.

22.袁鵬:《美俄關系的變與不變——兼議美俄“新冷戰(zhàn)”說》,《外交評論》,2006年第5期,第31頁。

23.George W. Bush: "The President's News Conference With President Vladimir Putin of Russia", November 13, 2001.Online by Gerhard Peters and John T. Woolley, The American Presidency Project. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=64429.

24.羅茜:《北約東擴進程回顧:何處是“邊界”?》,新華網(wǎng),2008年5月8日。http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2008-05/08/content_8126672.htm.

25.Peter Baker, "White House Scraps Bush's Approach to Missile Shield", The New York Times, September 17, 2009. http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/18/world/europe/18shield.html.

26.Macon Phillips, "The New START Treaty and Protocol", The White House, April 8, 2010. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2010/04/08/new-start-treaty-and-protocol.

27.Office of the Vice President, "Remarks by the Vice President at the Munich Security Conference", The White House, February 7, 2015. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2015/02/07/remarks-vice-president-munich-security-conference.

28.Department of Defense, "Operation Atlantic Resolve". https://www.defense.gov/News/Special-Reports/0514_Atlantic-Resolve.

29.相關評論詳見:Dmitri Trenin, "Welcome to Cold War II", Foreign Policy, March 4, 2014. https://foreignpolicy.com/2014/03/04/welcome-to-cold-war-ii/. Dmitri Trenin, "The Crisis in Crimea Could Lead the World into a Second Cold War", The Guardian, March 2, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/02/crimea-crisis-russia-ukraine-cold-war.  Simon Tisdall, "The New Cold War: Are We Going back to the Bad Old Days?", The Guardian, November 19, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/nov/19/new-cold-war-back-to-bad-old-days-russia-west-putin-ukraine. Patrick Wintour, Luke Harding, Julian Borger, "Cold War 2.0: How Russia and the West Reheated a Historic Struggle", The Guardian, October 24, 2016. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/24/cold-war-20-how-russia-and-the-west-reheated-a-historic-struggle.

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